Coup in Honduras

So the Honduran military asked the U.S. for help with the coup, and the U.S. said no? That's at least what Zelaya thinks, and he apparently believed there would be no coup after hearing that.

Spanish newspaper El Pais reported Sunday morning - as Zelaya was being kidnapped - that Zelaya said a coup was thwarted because the U.S. wasn't involved.

That leaves two possible situations:
1. The Honduran military (and Supreme Court, etc.) went along with the coup without U.S. support.
2. The U.S. changed its mind and gave at least tacit authorization.

Option #1 seems far more likely to me. The Obama administration, like every other member of OAS, has denounced the coup. I trust that the U.S. would not be involved in this, and certainly hope that is the case. Knowing Latin American history, however, of course some observers will think #2 is the case. Hugo Chávez, predictably, is suggesting this.

Will Chávez send troops in? How does the U.S. react to that? How could this alter Cuba's (non-)relationship with OAS? Maybe an improvement?

Anyway, the best analysis I've seen thus from is from Bloggingsbyboz, who I found about via Miguel.




http://www.bloggingsbyboz.com/